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Bitcoin - Fake drop! Soon return to 96k (December PUMP!)Bitcoin has dropped like crazy in the past day because we are in a strong bear market, but I think we should see a December rally! I have been warning you against these big crashes pretty much since Summer 2025. I knew it was going to happen - the question was not if but when. The price created a huge FVG, and this gap is very unfilled. Pretty much it looks like a huge manipulation from big players (they sent the price down significantly to liquidate high-leverage traders on futures). You know that the Bitcoin market is completely manipulated by the Fed, banks, and huge institutions. They even have a roadmap, and they know what the price of Bitcoin will be in 2030 and 2040. I know everyone hates the Fed and banks, but this is how it is. We trade it, so you have to be able to predict their movements and trade with their plan. I think Bitcoin will be very bearish in 2026, and we will see prices below 60k! It looked like sci-fi a few weeks ago, but this idea of 60k Bitcoin seems to be real. Moonboys are no longer spitting on these ideas, and some people are calling for 30k or 40k Bitcoin. Let me know in the comment section your prediction. I am curious! You have to understand that there is a lot of manipulation going on in this world. We live in a physical world that has been created recently. The original astral world is where the magic happens. And yes, the physical world is a scam and fraud. The sooner you understand that after you're dead, you wake up in the original astral world, the better for you. Currently, I am pretty bullish, I think we will see a bullish rally sooner rather than later! Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Long
by Xanrox
101
Crypto Winter 2026: BTC 75% Correction PT 30 000 USDInvestment Memo: Anticipating a 2026 Bitcoin Crypto Winter By ProjectSyndicate ________________________________________ 1. Executive Summary ❄️ Summary view: This memo treats 2026 as the high-probability crypto winter year for Bitcoin following the 2024 halving, with a working top around 123,000 USD and an expected cycle low near 30,000 USD, implying roughly a 75–76% drawdown from the peak. This is fully consistent with historical Bitcoin bear markets, which have typically seen 75–85% corrections from all-time highs. ❄️ Contrarian hook: While mainstream narratives still focus on ETFs, institutional adoption, and “crypto as macro asset,” the explosion of leverage (Aster DEX up to 1001x), CZ-backed perps, and BNB-chain meme-coin mania are treated here as late-cycle excess—classic topping signals rather than sustainable foundations. ________________________________________ 2. Thesis & Target Range 📊 Cycle top assumption: cycle high of ~123,000 USD per BTC. That is well within the band implied by recent ATH prints ~125–126k in mid-2025 and aligns with a typical “blow-off” overshoot above the prior psychological milestone at 100k. 📊 Cycle low assumption: 30,000 USD downside target represents a drawdown of ~75.6% from 123,000 USD—slightly shallower than the 2018 crash (~84%) and broadly in line with the 2021–22 bear (~77% from 69k to ~15–16k). That keeps this winter brutal but not apocalyptic, consistent with a maturing asset still capable of deep mean reversion. 🧮 Math check on prior winters • 2017–18: 19k → 3k ≈ 84% drawdown • 2021–22: 69k → 16k ≈ 77% drawdown • 2025–26 (your base case): 123k → 30k ≈ 76% drawdown This places scenario squarely inside the historical corridor of 75–85% post-peak corrections. ________________________________________ 3. Historical Pattern: Why Large Drawdowns Are the Base Case 📉 Structural volatility: Bitcoin’s entire price history is punctuated by massive post-parabolic drawdowns—early cycles saw 86–93% collapses, later ones 75–80%. Each halving-to-peak run has ended in a violent crash once marginal buyers are exhausted and leverage saturates. 📉 Time dimension: Historically, the “winter” phase has lasted 9–18 months from peak to capitulation and then a long grinding accumulation. The 2017 peak to 2018–19 bottom spanned roughly a year; the 2021 peak to 2022–23 nadir similarly took about a year, with a further period of sideways chop. 📉 Drawdown normalization: Traditional asset allocators increasingly frame Bitcoin as an alternative macro asset, but the statistical reality is unchanged: drawdowns of 70%+ are not outliers—they are typical. An assumption of only shallow corrections is the non-consensus view; a 75% winter is actually the boringly normal scenario from a historical distribution standpoint. ________________________________________ 4. Where We Are in the Current Cycle ⏳ Post-halving positioning: The fourth Bitcoin halving occurred in April 2024, cutting block rewards to 3.125 BTC and effectively tightening supply. Historically, the major blow-off tops occur 12–18 months after halving, as reduced supply + narrative momentum pulls in late-stage retail and leverage. ⏳ Evidence of late-cycle behavior: By mid-2025, Bitcoin had already pushed to new ATHs above 100k and then into the ~120–126k region, with growing signs of ETF saturation, institutional FOMO, and leverage-driven upside. From a purely cyclical lens, we are more likely in the “euphoria / distribution” band than in early bull territory. ________________________________________ 5. Aster DEX & Meme-Coin Mania as Contrarian Top Signals 🚨 Aster DEX as the “Hyperliquid of BNB Chain”: Aster DEX, emerging from APX Finance and Astherus and explicitly leveraging Binance’s network, is marketed as a high-performance perp DEX with MEV-resistant trading and leverage up to 1001x, backed by CZ/affiliate ventures. From a contrarian perspective, this is textbook late-cycle: maximum leverage offered to the broadest possible audience at or near cycle highs. 🚨 BNB meme-coin carnival: Simultaneously, BNB-chain meme coins and speculative listings (Maxi Doge, PEPENODE, various new BNB meme projects) are being pushed as high-beta “next 100x” plays. Historically, similar episodes—2017 ICOs, 2021 dog-coin and NFT mania—have coincided with or slightly lagged Bitcoin’s macro top rather than signal early-cycle value. 🎭 Narrative pattern recognition: In prior cycles, the market’s center of gravity shifted from Bitcoin to highly speculative edges (ICOs, NFTs, obscure DeFi, meme coins) at the very end of the bull. Late-cycle liquidity rotates into lottery tickets while BTC quietly transitions from “must own” to “source of funds.” The current Aster + BNB meme complex rhymes strongly with that historical script. ________________________________________ 6. Why a 75% Drawdown to 30,000 USD is Plausible 🧊 From 123k to 30k mechanically: A move from 123k to 30k doesn’t require structural failure; it merely requires a reversion to historical drawdown. That kind of move can be achieved by: • ETF inflows slowing or turning to mild outflows • Derivatives funding turning negative as carry trades unwind • A moderate macro risk-off (equities correction, higher real yields) 🧊 Maturing, not invincible: As adoption broadens—spot ETFs, institutional mandates, integration into macro portfolios—Bitcoin’s upside may gradually compress, but liquidity cycles and leverage cycles haven’t vanished. Even if each cycle’s drawdown edges slightly lower from ~85% to ~77%, there’s no reason to assume sub-50% drawdowns are the new regime. A respectable winter at 30k is almost conservative relative to earlier -80%+ events. ________________________________________ 7. Why the Floor Might Hold Above Prior Lows 🛡️ On-chain + macro floor logic: Without pinning to proprietary on-chain models, two simple supports for a 30k floor are: • Institutional cost basis: A growing chunk of supply is held via ETFs and treasuries accumulated in the 40–70k band. Many of these players may defend positions with hedging or incremental buying in the high-20k / low-30k region rather than panic-sell at -70–80%. • Realized price ratcheting higher: Across cycles, Bitcoin’s long-term realized price average on-chain cost basis tends to step up structurally. Past winters have bottomed not far below that long-term average; as the realized base rises, so does the likely bear-market floor. 🛡️ Regime shift vs. previous cycles: In 2018 and 2022, Bitcoin was still climbing the wall of institutional skepticism. By the mid-2020s, you have: • Spot ETFs • Corporate treasuries • Sovereign/FI experimentation These players typically do not capitulate to zero; they reduce risk, but they also accumulate in stress. That supports the idea of a shallower floor (30k) instead of a full 85–90% purge. ________________________________________ 8. Timing the 2026 Winter 🧭 Halving + 18-month lag template: Using the standard halving cycle template, major tops often occur 12–18 months post-halving, and winters then dominate the following year. With the fourth halving in April 2024, a 2025 ATH and a 2026 winter are exactly what the simple cycle model would project. 🧭 Scenario sketch • 2025: Distribution at elevated levels (80–120k+), persistent Bitcoin as digital gold narrative, alt & meme blow-off, over-issuance of high-leverage products (Aster, other perps). • 2026: Liquidity withdrawal + ETF fatigue + regulatory flare-ups → a stair-step decline through 80k, 60k, 45k, culminating in capitulation wicks into the 30–35k zone before a multi-month bottoming process. ________________________________________ 9. Market Structure Stress Points in a Winter Scenario 🧱 Leverage cascade risk: Perp DEXs offering hundreds to 1000x leverage attract the most price-insensitive flow at the worst time. When BTC breaks key levels (e.g., 80k → 60k → 50k), auto-deleveraging and forced liquidations can accelerate downside far beyond spot selling. Aster-style platforms, while innovative, mechanically create risk of cascading liquidations in a volatility spike. 🧱 Alt & meme vaporization: BNB meme coins and other speculative assets that rode the late-cycle pump will likely see 90–99% drawdowns, as in previous winters where smaller alts dramatically underperformed BTC. In your framework, BTC at 30k is actually the “high-quality survivor” outcome; the majority of late-cycle tokens may never reclaim their peaks. 🧱 Mining and infrastructure: With halved rewards and a much lower BTC price, marginal miners will be forced offline, just as in prior winters. That tends to deepen the short-term pain but ultimately improves the cost curve (strong miners consolidate, inefficient ones exit), laying groundwork for the next cycle. ________________________________________
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by ProjectSyndicate
50
Lingrid | GOLD Pullback Trading Opportunity from Support ZoneOANDA:XAUUSD is retracing into the 4,190–4,200 support band after an extended bullish run within the upward channel. The broader structure remains firmly bullish, with higher lows and higher highs forming along the rising trendline and each dip being absorbed by buyers. Price is now testing zone below the previous-day low, creating a classic buy pullback setup inside a continuation trend. If TVC:GOLD stabilizes above the trendline and reclaims intraday momentum, the next upside rotation could drive the metal toward the 4,290 resistance shelf, aligned with the higher boundary of the channel. Maintaining support above 4,190 keeps the bullish sequence intact and favors further acceleration. ➡️ Primary scenario: pullback holds above 4,190 → continuation toward 4,290. ⚠️ Risk scenario: a clean break below channel exposes 4,100 and delays bullish continuation. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
23
GOLD → Correction to support amid a bullish trend FX:XAUUSD retreated from the $4,245 level reached on Monday. A countertrend correction is forming ahead of the news. But buyers are not sleeping... Weak US economic data has heightened expectations of an imminent Fed rate cut. The PMI index in the US manufacturing sector continued to contract. The market estimates the probability of the Fed easing policy next week at 87%. However, rising US Treasury yields and fears that the Fed may send cautious signals after its December decision are limiting gold's growth. Market attention is shifting to ADP employment data and the US services business activity index (ISM Services PMI), which will be released on Wednesday. They will provide new signals about the health of the US economy. The correction in gold appears to be under control amid continuing macroeconomic uncertainty. The 4200, 4193-4173 level remains an important area of struggle between bulls and bears. Resistance levels: 4211, 4245 Support levels: 4193, 4173 A false breakdown and the bulls holding the market above the above support zone could trigger growth within the trend. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
14
Gold H1 – Will 4278–4280 Trigger a Drop Into 4170 Today?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (01/12) 📈 Market Context Gold continues its impressive rally as markets price in a potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in December. Spot gold recently surged past $4,230/oz — hitting a multi-week high — as the US Dollar Index (DXY) weakened. The backdrop is increasingly dovish: fading USD strength, soft U.S. macro data, and dovish comments from Fed officials have fueled speculative buying in gold. Technically, gold remains elevated, hovering inside a rising channel — similar to what’s shown on your chart. Price compression following strong displacement suggests a consolidation before the next institutional move. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (H1) Current state = Accumulation / Distribution within rising channel Liquidity zones & key triggers • Premium liquidity zone (sell-opportunity): ~ 4278–4280 (near upper channel resistance) — aligns with your SELL zone. • Discount liquidity zone (buy-origin / re-entry zone): ~ 4172–4170 (near lower channel support / trendline) — aligns with your BUY zone. • Equilibrium / chop zone: mid-channel / recent consolidation zone — avoid trading blindly here unless structure breaks. Expected Smart Money sequence Sweep → CHoCH/MSS → BOS → Displacement → Retest (FVG/OB) → Expansion Given the macro tailwinds (weak USD, rate-cut odds), gold remains primed for a directional move once structure confirms. 🎯 Trade Plans for Today 🔴 SELL GOLD 4278 – 4280 | SL 4288 • Thesis: A liquidity sweep at channel top / premium zone followed by engineered bearish displacement — capturing liquidity before a reversal. • Entry rules (must wait for confirmation): • Price touches 4280 zone • Bearish CHoCH / MSS + BOS down on M5–M15 • Entry ideally on FVG fill or after order-block retest post-BOS • Targets: 1. 4245 – 4240 area (first reaction) 2. 4225 – 4215 (mid-channel retest) 3. 4175 – 4172 (lower channel + buy zone) 🟢 BUY GOLD 4172 – 4170 | SL 4162 • Thesis: Discount-origin tap near lower channel support / trendline — smart money likely to accumulate for next leg up, especially amid dovish Fed sentiment. • Entry rules (must wait for confirmation): • Price dips into 4170 zone • Bullish CHoCH / MSS + BOS up on M5–M15 • Strong bullish wick + FVG fill or OB retest confirmation • Targets: 1. 4225 – 4230 (first reaction / mid-channel) 2. 4255 – 4265 (upper mid-channel) 3. 4278 – 4280+ (premium liquidity retest) ⚠️ Risk Management & Notes • Avoid trading inside the mid-channel chop zone without structural confirmation — no “blind” entries. • Do not treat sweeps (top or bottom) as trend entries — these are often traps. • Use tight SL (structure invalidation), avoid averaging in consolidation. • Given potential volatility from macro headlines or a USD bounce, consider reducing lot size. Summary Gold is currently riding macro tailwinds — weak USD + Fed rate-cut odds — but from a technical perspective, it’s compressed inside a rising channel. The day’s price action may be a classic Smart Money liquidity hunt: either a sweep at 4278–4280 leading to a sharp drop toward 4170, or a retracement to 4170 that sets up a fresh bull leg. Only trade after structural confirmation (CHoCH / BOS + retest) — avoid “trend-hop” entries. 📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
60
NZD/USD - Wedge Breakout (02.12.2025)📝 Description🔹 Setup Overview OANDA:NZDUSD NZD/USD has broken below a Rising Wedge structure — a bearish continuation signal. After retesting the lower trendline, price rejected sharply from the Resistance Zone, confirming seller strength. Today’s fundamentals add further downside pressure, making this setup align with market sentiment. 📌 Trading Plan 📍 Bearish Scenario (Primary Plan) Sell Opportunities: After retest of the broken wedge trendline. Target 1: 0.5690 (1st Support) Target 2: 0.5670 (2nd Support) #NZDUSD #Forex #PriceAction #WedgePattern #BearishSetup #FXAnalysis #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #Fundamentals #USDStrength #ChartAnalysis #Kabhi_TA_Trading ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only — not financial advice. Always manage your risk & use proper stop-loss levels. 👍 If you found this analysis helpful: 💬 Comment your views❤️ Like the post🔁 Share to support the work!
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
24
Gold 30-Min — Volume Sell Reversal Triggered⚡Base : Hanzo Trading Alpha Algorithm The algorithm calculates volatility displacement vs liquidity recovery, identifying where probability meets imbalance. It trades only where precision, volume, and manipulation intersect —only logic. ✈️ Technical Reasons / Direction — SHORT / Reversal 4222 Area ☄️Bearish rejection confirmed through sharp candle body. ☄️Lower-high forming beneath resistance supply region. ☄️Volume decreasing confirms exhaustion in price rally. ☄️Sellers regained imbalance with heavy top rejection. ☄️Algorithm detects fading demand and shift to control. ⚙️ Hanzo Alpha Trading Protocol The Alpha Candle defines the day’s real control zone — the first battle of momentum. From this origin, the Volume Window reveals where the next precision strike begins. ⚙️ Hanzo Volume Window / Map Window tracked from 10:30 — mapping true market behavior. POC alignment exposes institutional bias and breakout potential zones. ⚙️ Hanzo Delta Window / Pulse Delta window monitors real buying vs. selling power behind each move. Tracks volume aggression to expose who controls the candle — buyers or sellers. When Delta aligns with Volume Map, momentum becomes undeniable.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Path_Of_Hanzo
27
BTC: Bearish Continuation Setup After Major Channel BreakdownHi! Price broke hard below the long-term ascending channel, confirming a clear shift from bullish to bearish momentum. After the breakdown, BTC is moving in a small descending correction channel, creating a classic lower-high retracement toward supply. Direction: Short Entry Area: 87,200 – 88,300 (two stacked red zones) Stop-Loss: Above 88,700–89,000 (top of supply) Target: 83,000 – 84,800 (large green demand area)
Short
by melikatrader94
25
XAU/USD | Another Bullish Leg Possible! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4 hour timeframe, we can see that price made a strong bullish jump today, pushing all the way up to $4264 before showing signs of exhaustion and pulling back. This reaction is typical after such an aggressive move, especially when price taps into short-term liquidity pockets and meets intraday supply zones. Right now, TVC:GOLD is trading around $4228, which keeps the overall bullish structure intact. The key level to watch remains $4187, as long as price holds above this zone and doesn’t break it with a strong 4H candle close, the bullish scenario stays valid. This level is acting as both structural support and a demand area from the last impulsive move, so buyers will likely attempt to defend it. As long as we stay above that support, we can expect the market to build another wave of bullish momentum. The next upside targets remain the same, with potential reaction zones at: • $4240 • $4250 • $4260 • $4272 Each of these levels represents short-term liquidity pockets and minor supply areas where price may pause, react, or give another continuation setup. If bullish pressure stays strong, TVC:GOLD can attempt another push into the upper range after clearing intraday resistance levels. Overall, the trend is still bullish as long as $4187 holds, and higher targets remain in play unless we see a deeper breakdown or a sharp shift in momentum. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
OPOFINANCE:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
54
EURUSD Uptrend Intact: Price Approaches Major 1.1650 ResistanceHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on EUR/USD based on the current market structure. After breaking out of the Buyer Zone near 1.1600–1.1610, the price pushed higher and re-entered the ascending channel, continuing to form higher highs and higher lows along the channel’s Support Line. Buyers managed to defend the zone after a fake breakout, confirming strong demand within this area. Currently, EUR/USD is approaching the 1.1650–1.1660 Resistance Level, where the previous rejection occurred. As the pair moves within the rising channel, bullish momentum remains intact, but the structure also suggests that the market may slow down as it nears this overhead resistance. As long as the price holds above the Buyer Zone and continues respecting the channel’s Support Line, the bullish scenario remains valid. A short pullback toward the channel’s midline is possible before buyers attempt another push upward. A continuation of this upward movement may drive EUR/USD toward the TP1 target at 1.1650–1.1660, aligning with the major Resistance Level. A clean breakout above this level would open the door for further bullish expansion. However, a breakdown below the Support Line or a return into the Buyer Zone could weaken the current bullish structure and expose the pair to deeper corrective movement. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
21
BTCUSD Long: Volatility Rising — Retest of 90,000 ExpectedHello, traders! The price auction for BTCUSD has been in a corrective phase, forming a broad descending structure guided by the major Trend Line. This bearish pattern has been defined by a sequence of lower highs and lower lows, with price repeatedly getting rejected from the Supply Zone and consolidating inside the highlighted range. The market has respected both the descending supply line and the rising Demand Line, creating a well-defined compression of price action. Currently, the auction is at a critical inflection point, with BTC retesting the Demand Line near the 85,600 demand level. After a series of volatile moves inside the range, the price is attempting to stabilize at this structural support while gradually approaching the descending trendline once again. This tightening of volatility between supply and demand suggests that a significant directional move is likely to occur soon. My scenario for the development of events is a bullish rebound from the Demand Line, followed by a test of the descending supply line. I expect the price to attempt an impulsive breakout toward the major Supply Zone. In my opinion, a successful breakout above this zone may carry BTC toward the 92,300 resistance target marked on the chart. Manage your risk!
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by heniitrading
18
Yen Flexes as Dollar Wobbles, Traders Ramp Up Rate-Hike BetsThe yen came into Monday looking calm… and then proceeded to bench-press the dollar. The FX:USDJPY pair slid under ¥155, hitting a session low of ¥154.65, after BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda dropped one of the most powerful phrases in global FX: “We will weigh the pros and cons of tightening.” In Tokyo-speak, that’s basically suggesting “rate hike incoming!” The greenback instantly shed over 100 pips (every day trader’s dream), a half-percent haircut that reminded traders just how exquisitely sensitive the yen is to hints of policy change after 30 years of ultra-loose money. The next day, however, was a bit different. Early Tuesday morning, the pair gained back about half of what it lost the day before. Still, some things to note about Monday's slide: It wasn’t just FX that reacted. The yen’s surge: Knocked the Nikkei FX:JPN225 down 2%, Pushed Japanese government bond yields to 17-year highs, And forced traders to reprice Japan’s entire risk landscape in real time. 🕰️ The Market Has Been Waiting for This Moment FX traders have been staring at the FX:USDJPY for months, waiting for a sign — any sign — that Japan was finally ready to pivot. In the meantime, officials have made a sport out of verbal interventions: “We are watching FX moves with urgency.” “We will not tolerate excessive yen weakness.” “We have tools, and we are not afraid to use them.” Translation: Stop shorting the yen, it stresses us out. With Ueda openly weighing a rate hike at the December 19 Bank of Japan meeting, traders are scrambling to unwind one of the most crowded trades in global macro: the “short yen” position. A country that’s really truly reluctant to raise rates is suddenly hinting at liftoff — or at least a step towards it. 📉 Dollar Wobbles as Macro Crosswinds Build While Japan is drifting away from negative-rate territory, the US dollar faces a catalyst-packed December that could amplify or counter the yen’s breakout. Four major US data releases stand between now and the BoJ’s meeting: Dec 5: Fed’s preferred inflation gauge (PCE) Dec 10: CPI inflation report Dec 10: Fed interest-rate decision Dec 16: Nonfarm payrolls (US jobs report) If the Fed so much as hums a dovish note, yen strength could accelerate fast. If Powell surprises with a hawkish tone, the dollar may find a floor. Either way, this is the first time in years that both sides of the dollar-yen have meaningful rate catalysts. 🔄 A Trend Reversal in the Making? Big macro traders — the same funds that spent the last year squeezing every drop out of the yen carry trade — are taking profits, reducing leverage, and even tiptoeing into long-yen bets. When one of the world’s great one-way trades starts wobbling, liquidity thins, and volatility spikes. This is precisely the environment where this volatile beast can swing 100 pips before your coffee cools. And if Japan genuinely signals the start of a tightening cycle? Carry unwinds can get violent. One central bank hint today can become a multi-month trend tomorrow. 🧭 So What Happens Next? The yen’s flex this week may be just the opening act. Everything now hinges on: BoJ clarity on Dec 19 How soft (or not) US inflation comes in Whether the Fed’s tone shifts on Dec 10 And how the labor market behaves into year-end Watch the economic calendar and get ready for action. FX volatility is back on the menu. Now that it’s happening, everyone’s asking the same question: We’ll leave it to you : Was this a one-day pop — or the start of the yen’s long-awaited comeback tour? Share your views in the comments!
by TradingView
8
XAUUSD: Buyers Eye Retest of the $4,300 Resistance ZoneHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current XAUUSD setup. Market Analysis Gold continues to trade within a well-structured bullish environment following a strong recovery from the lower Triangle Support Line earlier in the month. After a prolonged corrective phase inside a symmetrical triangle, price eventually broke above the Triangle Resistance Line, shifting the market structure from consolidation into bullish continuation. This breakout created a clear trend shift, supported by a steady sequence of higher highs and higher lows. After the breakout, XAUUSD entered a temporary Range phase, suggesting accumulation from buyers before the next impulsive move. Once price broke out of that range to the upside, the market formed a clean Upward Channel, showing sustained bullish pressure. A notable fake breakout above the Resistance Zone around 4,260 occurred recently, indicating strong seller activity at the top of the zone, but buyers quickly regained control and continued to push price upward within the channel. Currently, gold is trading near the mid-upper area of the Upward Channel, approaching the 4,300 key Resistance Zone. The broader technical picture shows clear bullish market structure, with trendline support and channel dynamics favoring further upside as long as the channel remains intact. My Scenario & Strategy My scenario is bullish, supported by the strong rebound within the Upward Channel and the consistent higher-low structure. As long as price remains above the 4,215–4,230 Support Zone and respects the channel’s lower boundary, buyers hold a clear advantage. My expectation is that XAUUSD may make a minor pullback toward the mid-channel zone near 4,230 to gather liquidity before continuing the upward movement. Therefore, the primary bullish target remains the 4,300 Resistance Zone, where a retest is highly probable. A clean breakout above 4,300 would open the door for a stronger rally and signal continuation of the broader bullish cycle. However, if gold fails to break the resistance and forms a deeper correction, the Upward Channel support and the prior breakout zone at 4,215 will be key levels to watch. The bullish bias remains valid as long as these supports hold. For now, the structure favors a long scenario with attention on the move toward 4,300 and potential bullish continuation beyond that level. That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Ratner
22
Bitcoin’s Worst November Ever — More Dump?In the past 24 hours, Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has dropped by more than -8%, marking its worst November performance ever, with a decline of about -17.67% this month alone. Now, the question is whether Bitcoin will continue its downward trend or start to rebound. So, stay tuned! At the moment, it seems that Bitcoin has successfully broken through the support zone($87,000-$85,130) and is moving toward the Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($83,273-$81,900). From an Elliott Wave perspective, it appears that Bitcoin has completed its main wave 4, forming a bull trap, and is now in the process of completing the main wave 5. On the fundamental side, we need to pay attention to a few key factors: 1-For one, the USDT.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ) is on the rise, and this could put downward pressure on the crypto market. 2-Another point is that the stock market is also trending upward, but unlike stocks, Bitcoin tends to react more negatively when the stock market declines. 3-The US 10-Year Government Bond Yield ( TVC:US10 ) also appears to be trending upward, causing riskier assets like stocks and Bitcoin to decline. 4-Additionally, geopolitical tensions, especially between the US and Venezuela over the past 72 hours, could also trigger further declines in Bitcoin if they escalate. Considering all of this, I expect Bitcoin to continue its downward trend and test the heavy support zone($78,300-$71,280). The Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) might serve as a rebound point for Bitcoin, but if the heavy support zone($78,300-$71,280) is broken, we could see a more severe sell-off in the crypto markets. What do you think? Will Bitcoin drop below $70,000 or not? Let me know your thoughts! Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $97,100-$98,135 Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $93,215-$94,130 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $80,263-$78,131 First Target: Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $80,263-$78,131 Second Target: Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) Stop Loss(SL): $90,423 Points may shift as the market evolves 💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely. 📌Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame. 🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open. ✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too! 🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
Short
by pejman_zwin
34
BTCUSD–Major Head&Shoulders Breakdown and Key Demand Zones AheadBTCUSD recently completed a clear Head & Shoulders reversal pattern, confirmed by a break of the neckline and a strong downside continuation. After the breakdown, price has reached an important demand area, where it is attempting to stabilize. Left Shoulder – Head – Right Shoulder structure Neckline break with BOS confirmations Retest and continued bearish momentum Multiple demand zones marked between 80,680 – 88,755 Short-term reaction pointing toward a potential relief move Price is currently trading near the mid-zone around 86,900, where initial reactions have appeared. This zone may act as a reference point for observing market behavior, especially if buyers attempt a short-term recovery toward the upper blue zone. This analysis focuses on how price action reacts within these key levels and structure changes
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BUll-TradingClub
15
A Pullback Cannot Hide a Weakening TrendHello everyone, it’s Domic here ✌️ Looking at Bitcoin’s recent price action, you can probably feel that the latest drop wasn’t a random fall. The market completely broke through a multi-day equilibrium zone, and the moment BTC was repeatedly rejected at the EMA 89 and then lost the EMA 34, the balance of power shifted clearly toward the sellers. Interestingly, right after that sharp breakdown, BTC bounced into a short-term pullback. This doesn’t signal a trend reversal; it’s simply the market’s natural reaction after falling too quickly: profit-taking from sellers, short-covering, and weak dip-buying flows creating a technical rebound — enough to rebalance the market, but not enough to change direction. From a macro perspective, the signals are fairly aligned: US bond yields have risen again, the DXY has bounced from the 99 area, ETF inflows have weakened, and defensive sentiment ahead of upcoming US labour data has caused demand to dry up almost entirely. Crypto is simply being dragged along with the broader risk-off environment. From a technical angle, BTC is trading below both the EMA 34 and EMA 89 — two downward-sloping moving averages indicating the trend remains bearish. The 4H breakdown accompanied by strong volume shows this is a real sell-off. BTC is currently pulling back to retest the resistance levels: 88,700–89,000 at the EMA 34 and 90,400–90,600 at the EMA 89. These zones will reveal whether selling pressure still dominates. If sellers return aggressively, BTC may continue heading toward lower support regions: 85,500–86,000 is the first key area, followed by 83,000–84,000 — a demand zone that previously generated a strong bullish reaction. With the current momentum, the scenario where BTC at least touches the 85,500–86,000 support is becoming increasingly likely. Which direction do you think the market is leaning toward? Feel free to share your perspective — and wishing everyone successful trading!
Short
by DomicChaina
15
GOLD Consolidation bullish run momenmtumGold moved into consolidation after a bullish run. The metal pulled back to $4110/oz on Tuesday as investors booked profits following Monday’s six-week high. The market is now focused on U.S. interest rate expectations, with growing anticipation of a rate cut next week. Traders are also awaiting remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell later today for additional guidance on the Fed’s rate trajectory. Price retested the 4205 zone and rebounded, indicating a healthy pullback within the uptrend If bulls successfully hold the 4210 support range, upward momentum could strengthen quickly On the upside, the next major resistance levels to watch are 4260 and 4300. You may find more details in the chart. Trade wisely best of luck buddies. Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis thanks for supporting.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MrMartin_11
18
Gold Reversal in Motion: Head & Shoulders Breakdown Hi! Market Structure Gold has been moving inside a clean ascending channel, with price respecting both upper and lower boundaries for several days. Earlier in the trend, we saw the first compression phase along the dashed mid-line, which later fueled the strong push toward the channel top. Liquidity Zone – Hunt or Breakout? At the channel’s upper boundary, price tapped a key horizontal level. The spike above it looks more like a liquidity hunt than a real breakout—buyers were trapped, and the market quickly rejected from this zone. Reversal Pattern – Head & Shoulders After the rejection, a clear Head and Shoulders pattern formed exactly at the top of the channel The neckline was positioned just above the dashed trendline. Once the neckline broke, momentum shifted sharply bearish, confirming the pattern. Target & Expected Path The chart shows the target of the Head and Shoulders, aligned perfectly with the lower boundary of the ascending channel. This creates a strong confluence around the 4,160 area. The projected move suggests a possible minor pullback or neckline retest before continuing downward. Overall, the chart signals a short-term trend reversal within a long-term bullish channel, driven by liquidity sweep behavior and a confirmed Head & Shoulders breakdown. Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by melikatrader94
12
Gold Breakout + Wave Structure = New Targets LoadingGold( OANDA:XAUUSD ) has successfully broken through the Resistance zone($4,205 – $4,133) at the start of this new week, and over the past ten trading days, it seems to have formed an ascending channel. From an Elliott Wave perspective, it looks like gold has completed wave 3 and is currently in the process of completing wave 4. I expect that after a pullback toward the Resistance zone($4,205 – $4,133)—aligning with the lower line of the ascending channel and the support lines—gold will resume its upward movement and once again target the Resistance zone($4,316 – $4,261). First Target: $4,266 Second Target: $4,294 Stop Loss(SL): $4,151 Note: Geopolitical tensions—especially the possibility of a direct confrontation between Venezuela and the U.S.—tend to push investors toward safe-haven assets, and gold historically reacts with strong upward momentum during such uncertainty. If this conflict escalates, increased risk aversion and volatility across global markets could support a bullish continuation in gold as capital shifts away from risk assets 💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely. 📌 Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame. 🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open. ✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too! 🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by pejman_zwin
19