🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (01/12)
📈 Market Context
Gold continues its impressive rally as markets price in a potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in December. Spot gold recently surged past $4,230/oz — hitting a multi-week high — as the US Dollar Index (DXY) weakened.
The backdrop is increasingly dovish: fading USD strength, soft U.S. macro data, and dovish comments from Fed officials have fueled speculative buying in gold.
Technically, gold remains elevated, hovering inside a rising channel — similar to what’s shown on your chart. Price compression following strong displacement suggests a consolidation before the next institutional move.
🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (H1)
Current state = Accumulation / Distribution within rising channel
Liquidity zones & key triggers
• Premium liquidity zone (sell-opportunity): ~ 4278–4280 (near upper channel resistance) — aligns with your SELL zone.
• Discount liquidity zone (buy-origin / re-entry zone): ~ 4172–4170 (near lower channel support / trendline) — aligns with your BUY zone.
• Equilibrium / chop zone: mid-channel / recent consolidation zone — avoid trading blindly here unless structure breaks.
Expected Smart Money sequence
Sweep → CHoCH/MSS → BOS → Displacement → Retest (FVG/OB) → Expansion
Given the macro tailwinds (weak USD, rate-cut odds), gold remains primed for a directional move once structure confirms.
🎯 Trade Plans for Today
🔴 SELL GOLD 4278 – 4280 | SL 4288
• Thesis: A liquidity sweep at channel top / premium zone followed by engineered bearish displacement — capturing liquidity before a reversal.
• Entry rules (must wait for confirmation):
• Price touches 4280 zone
• Bearish CHoCH / MSS + BOS down on M5–M15
• Entry ideally on FVG fill or after order-block retest post-BOS
• Targets:
1. 4245 – 4240 area (first reaction)
2. 4225 – 4215 (mid-channel retest)
3. 4175 – 4172 (lower channel + buy zone)
🟢 BUY GOLD 4172 – 4170 | SL 4162
• Thesis: Discount-origin tap near lower channel support / trendline — smart money likely to accumulate for next leg up, especially amid dovish Fed sentiment.
• Entry rules (must wait for confirmation):
• Price dips into 4170 zone
• Bullish CHoCH / MSS + BOS up on M5–M15
• Strong bullish wick + FVG fill or OB retest confirmation
• Targets:
1. 4225 – 4230 (first reaction / mid-channel)
2. 4255 – 4265 (upper mid-channel)
3. 4278 – 4280+ (premium liquidity retest)
⚠️ Risk Management & Notes
• Avoid trading inside the mid-channel chop zone without structural confirmation — no “blind” entries.
• Do not treat sweeps (top or bottom) as trend entries — these are often traps.
• Use tight SL (structure invalidation), avoid averaging in consolidation.
• Given potential volatility from macro headlines or a USD bounce, consider reducing lot size.
Summary
Gold is currently riding macro tailwinds — weak USD + Fed rate-cut odds — but from a technical perspective, it’s compressed inside a rising channel. The day’s price action may be a classic Smart Money liquidity hunt: either a sweep at 4278–4280 leading to a sharp drop toward 4170, or a retracement to 4170 that sets up a fresh bull leg.
Only trade after structural confirmation (CHoCH / BOS + retest) — avoid “trend-hop” entries.
📍 Follow Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money updates.
📈 Market Context
Gold continues its impressive rally as markets price in a potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in December. Spot gold recently surged past $4,230/oz — hitting a multi-week high — as the US Dollar Index (DXY) weakened.
The backdrop is increasingly dovish: fading USD strength, soft U.S. macro data, and dovish comments from Fed officials have fueled speculative buying in gold.
Technically, gold remains elevated, hovering inside a rising channel — similar to what’s shown on your chart. Price compression following strong displacement suggests a consolidation before the next institutional move.
🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (H1)
Current state = Accumulation / Distribution within rising channel
Liquidity zones & key triggers
• Premium liquidity zone (sell-opportunity): ~ 4278–4280 (near upper channel resistance) — aligns with your SELL zone.
• Discount liquidity zone (buy-origin / re-entry zone): ~ 4172–4170 (near lower channel support / trendline) — aligns with your BUY zone.
• Equilibrium / chop zone: mid-channel / recent consolidation zone — avoid trading blindly here unless structure breaks.
Expected Smart Money sequence
Sweep → CHoCH/MSS → BOS → Displacement → Retest (FVG/OB) → Expansion
Given the macro tailwinds (weak USD, rate-cut odds), gold remains primed for a directional move once structure confirms.
🎯 Trade Plans for Today
🔴 SELL GOLD 4278 – 4280 | SL 4288
• Thesis: A liquidity sweep at channel top / premium zone followed by engineered bearish displacement — capturing liquidity before a reversal.
• Entry rules (must wait for confirmation):
• Price touches 4280 zone
• Bearish CHoCH / MSS + BOS down on M5–M15
• Entry ideally on FVG fill or after order-block retest post-BOS
• Targets:
1. 4245 – 4240 area (first reaction)
2. 4225 – 4215 (mid-channel retest)
3. 4175 – 4172 (lower channel + buy zone)
🟢 BUY GOLD 4172 – 4170 | SL 4162
• Thesis: Discount-origin tap near lower channel support / trendline — smart money likely to accumulate for next leg up, especially amid dovish Fed sentiment.
• Entry rules (must wait for confirmation):
• Price dips into 4170 zone
• Bullish CHoCH / MSS + BOS up on M5–M15
• Strong bullish wick + FVG fill or OB retest confirmation
• Targets:
1. 4225 – 4230 (first reaction / mid-channel)
2. 4255 – 4265 (upper mid-channel)
3. 4278 – 4280+ (premium liquidity retest)
⚠️ Risk Management & Notes
• Avoid trading inside the mid-channel chop zone without structural confirmation — no “blind” entries.
• Do not treat sweeps (top or bottom) as trend entries — these are often traps.
• Use tight SL (structure invalidation), avoid averaging in consolidation.
• Given potential volatility from macro headlines or a USD bounce, consider reducing lot size.
Summary
Gold is currently riding macro tailwinds — weak USD + Fed rate-cut odds — but from a technical perspective, it’s compressed inside a rising channel. The day’s price action may be a classic Smart Money liquidity hunt: either a sweep at 4278–4280 leading to a sharp drop toward 4170, or a retracement to 4170 that sets up a fresh bull leg.
Only trade after structural confirmation (CHoCH / BOS + retest) — avoid “trend-hop” entries.
📍 Follow Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money updates.
Trade active
I BUY GOLD AT 4246 AND +70PIPS RUNNINGTrade closed: target reached
LEARN FROM MISTAKES, THIS TIME WE DIDN'T HIT THE SL
+ 570 PIPS FULL TP
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
⚜️ Daily 4 - 6 Swing SIGNALS
⚜️ Daily 9 - 15 Scalping SIGNALS
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⚜️ Daily 9 - 15 Scalping SIGNALS
⚜️ SMC - ICT | Document and Real Trade Logic
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Join Real - Time Signals Here: t.me/+pi-w7HQsxw03YWNl
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.