Euro / U.S. Dollar
Short

EURUSD: Rejection Signals Move Toward 1.15500 Support

340
Hello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current EURUSD setup.

Market Analysis

EURUSD continues to trade inside a broader downward channel, where bearish structure remains dominant. After reaching the Resistance Zone around 1.16500, the pair formed another rejection near the descending trendline, confirming strong seller pressure and completing yet another fake breakout inside this key supply area. From there, price reversed sharply and moved back below the structure, respecting the market’s overall bearish sentiment.

Currently, EURUSD is pulling back from resistance and heading toward the Support Zone near 1.15500, which has previously acted as a significant reaction area. This zone also aligns with multiple breakout points seen earlier, making it an important liquidity region where buyers have stepped in before. Despite temporary bullish corrections, the pair remains capped under the channel resistance, keeping the downtrend intact.

My Scenario & Strategy

My scenario as long as the market stays below the descending channel’s resistance and under the 1.16500 zone, my bias remains bearish. The price is likely to continue moving toward the 1.15500 Support Zone, where the next significant reaction may occur. A clean retest of this level could initiate either a short-term corrective bounce or a continuation of the bearish trend, depending on the strength of incoming momentum.

Therefore, if the pair breaks below 1.15500, this would open the door for deeper downside movement within the channel, extending toward lower supports. However, if buyers defend this zone strongly, we may see a temporary upward correction — but any upside remains limited unless EURUSD breaks above the Resistance Zone with confirmation. For now, I expect a move toward support as sellers remain in control of market structure.

That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.

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