NZD/USD - Wedge Breakout (02.12.2025)📝 Description🔹 Setup Overview OANDA:NZDUSD
NZD/USD has broken below a Rising Wedge structure — a bearish continuation signal.
After retesting the lower trendline, price rejected sharply from the Resistance Zone, confirming seller strength.
Today’s fundamentals add further downside pressure, making this setup align with market sentiment.
📌 Trading Plan 📍 Bearish Scenario (Primary Plan)
Sell Opportunities: After retest of the broken wedge trendline.
Target 1: 0.5690 (1st Support)
Target 2: 0.5670 (2nd Support)
#NZDUSD #Forex #PriceAction #WedgePattern #BearishSetup #FXAnalysis #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #Fundamentals #USDStrength #ChartAnalysis #Kabhi_TA_Trading
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only — not financial advice.
Always manage your risk & use proper stop-loss levels.
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EURUSD Uptrend Intact: Price Approaches Major 1.1650 ResistanceHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on EUR/USD based on the current market structure. After breaking out of the Buyer Zone near 1.1600–1.1610, the price pushed higher and re-entered the ascending channel, continuing to form higher highs and higher lows along the channel’s Support Line. Buyers managed to defend the zone after a fake breakout, confirming strong demand within this area. Currently, EUR/USD is approaching the 1.1650–1.1660 Resistance Level, where the previous rejection occurred. As the pair moves within the rising channel, bullish momentum remains intact, but the structure also suggests that the market may slow down as it nears this overhead resistance. As long as the price holds above the Buyer Zone and continues respecting the channel’s Support Line, the bullish scenario remains valid. A short pullback toward the channel’s midline is possible before buyers attempt another push upward. A continuation of this upward movement may drive EUR/USD toward the TP1 target at 1.1650–1.1660, aligning with the major Resistance Level. A clean breakout above this level would open the door for further bullish expansion. However, a breakdown below the Support Line or a return into the Buyer Zone could weaken the current bullish structure and expose the pair to deeper corrective movement. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Yen Flexes as Dollar Wobbles, Traders Ramp Up Rate-Hike BetsThe yen came into Monday looking calm… and then proceeded to bench-press the dollar.
The FX:USDJPY pair slid under ¥155, hitting a session low of ¥154.65, after BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda dropped one of the most powerful phrases in global FX:
“We will weigh the pros and cons of tightening.”
In Tokyo-speak, that’s basically suggesting “rate hike incoming!”
The greenback instantly shed over 100 pips (every day trader’s dream), a half-percent haircut that reminded traders just how exquisitely sensitive the yen is to hints of policy change after 30 years of ultra-loose money.
The next day, however, was a bit different. Early Tuesday morning, the pair gained back about half of what it lost the day before. Still, some things to note about Monday's slide:
It wasn’t just FX that reacted. The yen’s surge:
Knocked the Nikkei FX:JPN225 down 2%,
Pushed Japanese government bond yields to 17-year highs,
And forced traders to reprice Japan’s entire risk landscape in real time.
🕰️ The Market Has Been Waiting for This Moment
FX traders have been staring at the FX:USDJPY for months, waiting for a sign — any sign — that Japan was finally ready to pivot. In the meantime, officials have made a sport out of verbal interventions:
“We are watching FX moves with urgency.”
“We will not tolerate excessive yen weakness.”
“We have tools, and we are not afraid to use them.”
Translation: Stop shorting the yen, it stresses us out.
With Ueda openly weighing a rate hike at the December 19 Bank of Japan meeting, traders are scrambling to unwind one of the most crowded trades in global macro: the “short yen” position.
A country that’s really truly reluctant to raise rates is suddenly hinting at liftoff — or at least a step towards it.
📉 Dollar Wobbles as Macro Crosswinds Build
While Japan is drifting away from negative-rate territory, the US dollar faces a catalyst-packed December that could amplify or counter the yen’s breakout.
Four major US data releases stand between now and the BoJ’s meeting:
Dec 5: Fed’s preferred inflation gauge (PCE)
Dec 10: CPI inflation report
Dec 10: Fed interest-rate decision
Dec 16: Nonfarm payrolls (US jobs report)
If the Fed so much as hums a dovish note, yen strength could accelerate fast.
If Powell surprises with a hawkish tone, the dollar may find a floor.
Either way, this is the first time in years that both sides of the dollar-yen have meaningful rate catalysts.
🔄 A Trend Reversal in the Making?
Big macro traders — the same funds that spent the last year squeezing every drop out of the yen carry trade — are taking profits, reducing leverage, and even tiptoeing into long-yen bets.
When one of the world’s great one-way trades starts wobbling, liquidity thins, and volatility spikes.
This is precisely the environment where this volatile beast can swing 100 pips before your coffee cools.
And if Japan genuinely signals the start of a tightening cycle? Carry unwinds can get violent.
One central bank hint today can become a multi-month trend tomorrow.
🧭 So What Happens Next?
The yen’s flex this week may be just the opening act.
Everything now hinges on:
BoJ clarity on Dec 19
How soft (or not) US inflation comes in
Whether the Fed’s tone shifts on Dec 10
And how the labor market behaves into year-end
Watch the economic calendar and get ready for action. FX volatility is back on the menu.
Now that it’s happening, everyone’s asking the same question:
We’ll leave it to you : Was this a one-day pop — or the start of the yen’s long-awaited comeback tour? Share your views in the comments!
CAD/CHF: One More Wave Ahead?!📈CADCHF is poised to continue its upward trajectory, reaching new highs.
A bullish breakout from the neckline of the ascending triangle pattern on the 4-hour timeframe indicates a strong trend-following bullish signal.
We anticipate with high probability that the price will soon reach the 0.5763 level.
#NZDCAD: Bearish Move IS Likely To Continue! NZDCAD is in swing bearish move and likely to continue dropping hard. We have an potential selling opportunity in making, Please use accurate risk management while trading. If you like our ideas then please do like and comment and follow for more.
Good luck and trade safe as always.
Team Setupsfx_
EURUSD: Rejection Signals Move Toward 1.15500 SupportHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current EURUSD setup.
Market Analysis
EURUSD continues to trade inside a broader downward channel, where bearish structure remains dominant. After reaching the Resistance Zone around 1.16500, the pair formed another rejection near the descending trendline, confirming strong seller pressure and completing yet another fake breakout inside this key supply area. From there, price reversed sharply and moved back below the structure, respecting the market’s overall bearish sentiment.
Currently, EURUSD is pulling back from resistance and heading toward the Support Zone near 1.15500, which has previously acted as a significant reaction area. This zone also aligns with multiple breakout points seen earlier, making it an important liquidity region where buyers have stepped in before. Despite temporary bullish corrections, the pair remains capped under the channel resistance, keeping the downtrend intact.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario as long as the market stays below the descending channel’s resistance and under the 1.16500 zone, my bias remains bearish. The price is likely to continue moving toward the 1.15500 Support Zone, where the next significant reaction may occur. A clean retest of this level could initiate either a short-term corrective bounce or a continuation of the bearish trend, depending on the strength of incoming momentum.
Therefore, if the pair breaks below 1.15500, this would open the door for deeper downside movement within the channel, extending toward lower supports. However, if buyers defend this zone strongly, we may see a temporary upward correction — but any upside remains limited unless EURUSD breaks above the Resistance Zone with confirmation. For now, I expect a move toward support as sellers remain in control of market structure.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
USDJPY 30-Min — Volume Buy & Sell Reversal Triggered⚡Base : Hanzo Trading Alpha Algorithm
The algorithm calculates volatility displacement vs liquidity recovery, identifying where probability meets imbalance.
It trades only where precision, volume, and manipulation intersect —only logic.
✈️ Technical Reasons
/ Direction — LONG / Reversal 154.550 Area
☄️Bullish momentum confirmed through strong candle body.
☄️Structure shifted with higher-low near key demand base.
☄️Volume expanding confirms order-flow alignment upward.
☄️Buyers reclaimed imbalance with sustained clean break.
☄️Algorithm detects rising momentum under low liquidity.
✈️ Technical Reasons
/ Direction — SHORT / Reversal 156.100 Area
☄️Bearish rejection confirmed through sharp candle body.
☄️Lower-high forming beneath resistance supply region.
☄️Volume decreasing confirms exhaustion in price rally.
☄️Sellers regained imbalance with heavy top rejection.
☄️Algorithm detects fading demand and shift to control.
⚙️ Hanzo Alpha Trading Protocol
The Alpha Candle defines the day’s real control zone — the first battle of momentum.
From this origin, the Volume Window reveals where the next precision strike begins.
⚙️ Hanzo Volume Window / Map
Window tracked from 10:30 — mapping true market behavior.
POC alignment exposes institutional bias and breakout potential zones.
⚙️ Hanzo Delta Window / Pulse
Delta window monitors real buying vs. selling power behind each move.
Tracks volume aggression to expose who controls the candle — buyers or sellers.
When Delta aligns with Volume Map, momentum becomes undeniable.
GBPJPY Gearing Up for a New Bullish Wave?If we were to describe GBPJPY at this moment, it would be the picture of a market gathering momentum to climb higher . After a mild pullback, the macro backdrop still leans toward further upside: the JPY continues to weaken as risk-aversion eases, while the GBP remains supported by a stable economy and higher interest rates . This combination forms a solid foundation for the current recovery phase.
Looking at the 4H chart, the uptrend is clearly intact with an ascending trendline that has been respected consistently since early November. Each touch of this trendline has triggered strong buying pressure — a clear sign that bulls are still in control . Most recently, price has bounced again from the 205.6 support confluence , aligning perfectly with the trendline and the nearest support zone.
With the current structure, the primary scenario remains bullish. Price is likely to consolidate slightly above the trendline before moving toward the 207.3 resistance — the next key target of the trend. If buying pressure stays firm, GBPJPY could even extend higher toward 207.8–208.0.
Only a break below 205.5 and a candle close under the trendline would threaten the bullish outlook. But for now, market flow continues to favor the buy side, and every pullback still presents an opportunity to observe the potential continuation of the uptrend .
GBPJPY Next Buying Move Analysis Read The Captionchart for the GBP/JPY currency pair. It displays price movement between a marked support level at the bottom and a target level at the top. The chart includes Ichimoku cloud indicators and a projected forecast path showing a potential drop to the support level before rising back up to the target zone. Ads and interface elements from a mobile browser surround the chart.
GBPJPY: Bullish Rebound Toward Channel HighsGBPJPY: Bullish Rebound Toward Channel Highs
GBPJPY is currently rebounding strongly from the lower boundary of its ascending large pattern, showing signs of renewed bullish momentum. The structure remains clearly bullish.
Currently, the pair can form a small continuation pattern before the buyers push the price higher once the short-term pullback is complete.
If bullish pressure continues, GBPJPY may easily reach the upside targets highlighted on the chart:
Targets:
206.43
206.75
207.10
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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EURUSD: Bearish Pressure Building at Critical ResistanceEURUSD: Bearish Pressure Building at Critical Resistance
EURUSD has once again reacted strongly to the major resistance zone that has held multiple times in the past. The pair tapped this level and immediately showed rejection, signaling that bullish momentum is weakening in this area.
After forming a symmetric consolidation structure and breaking upward, price is now struggling to sustain gains. The repeated rejection (highlighted) suggests that buyers are losing strength and a corrective move to the downside is likely.
If bearish pressure continues, the first target sits around 1.15300, followed by deeper retracement levels at 1.14700. A full correction toward the broader 1.14078 support zone is still possible if momentum accelerates.
As long as EUR/USD remains below this key resistance, the bearish path remains the more probable scenario. Only a clean breakout above the resistance zone would invalidate the setup and open the door for further bullish continuation.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
AUDUSDThe AUDUSD chart shows an upward-sloping trendline indicating that the market has been in an uptrend, with higher highs and higher lows since around the 20th of November. This trendline suggests that price action is generally bullish, and this upward movement has been sustained for a period of time.
The price is currently near the level of 101.800, just below 102.000, which has been a key resistance zone the shaded region in light gray, located above the current price, represents a potential resistance zone. This is a level where price may struggle to break above, creating an opportunity for short trades if price fails to push higher The green shaded area below the current price level (around 101.600) indicates a potential area of support. If price begins to fall, this region could act as a point where price may bounce or stall before moving lower.
The chart suggests that there may be a bearish scenario developing. From the current price of around 101.800, the analysis shows a possible move down to 101.600 (and possibly lower) in the near future. This move is marked by the downward arrow and target area shown on the right side of the chart The target for this downward move is set around 100.516, which would represent a significant drop from the current price level. If the market follows through with the anticipated bearish movement, traders might expect the price to reach this area before finding another level of support.
As the trade anticipates price movement to the downside, the trader may place a stop loss slightly above the resistance level (above 102.000), allowing the trade to be protected if the market doesn't follow through on the bearish bias The chart is set on a 1-hour time frame, meaning the trader expects this move to unfold within a relatively short period, potentially within the next few days. This type of chart analysis is useful for short-term traders, such as scalpers or day traders.
The chart also includes specific symbols at the bottom, which could represent certain events or alerts for the trader. The purple circle indicates a potential news event, while the red circle likely represents a trade setup or entry signal. The use of these symbols shows that the trader is closely monitoring events that could impact the market.
Overall, the trader's analysis suggests that the market has reached a point of resistance at around the 102.000 level. If the market fails to break above this resistance, a downward move to the support zone near 101.600 is expected. From there, the trader anticipates further downside movement toward the 100.516 region, providing a potentially profitable trade setup.
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EUR/USD | Short, Long, Short ! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #EURUSD chart on the 6 hour timeframe, we can see that price is currently trading around 1.164. I expect a short pullback first, and after that EURUSD could climb again toward the 1.169 zone. Once price reaches the supply area I’m watching, another correction is likely. This analysis will be updated soon.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
EURAUD corrective pullback supported at 1.7650The EURAUD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 1.7650 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 1.7650 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
1.7850 – initial resistance
1.7900 – psychological and structural level
1.7980 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 1.7650 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
1.7610 – minor support
1.7560 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the FTSE holds above 1.7650. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
AUDUSD: trendline breakout🛠 Technical Analysis: On the 4-hour timeframe, AUDUSD has broken above a key descending trendline and is currently testing immediate resistance near 0.65595. Although a "Global bearish signal" remains visible from the previous crossover, the recent price action suggests a bullish reversal if buyers can clear this short-term obstacle. The projected trade setup anticipates a confirmed breakout above this level, opening the door for a rapid rally toward the main resistance zone at 0.66200.
🌍 Fundamental Analysis: Volatility is expected to increase towards the end of the week amid Australian GDP data and key US data on Friday and Thursday. Traders are also exercising caution ahead of next week's Fed meeting, but this is more relevant to the medium-term outlook.
❗️ Trade Parameters (BUY) ❗️
➡️ Entry Point: Buy on breakout above short-term resistance (approx. 0.65600 – 0.65650)
🎯 Take Profit: 0.66200 (Major Resistance Zone)
🔴 Stop Loss: Below the recent consolidation (approx. 0.65369)
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a potential trade idea based on current analysis; market conditions and price direction are subject to change based on news factors and volatility.
Trendline Breakdown Signals Potential Bearish ReversalUSDCAD Technical Analysis
Price action has broken below the established upward trendline, indicating a potential shift in market structure. At this stage, a corrective pullback toward the broken trendline is anticipated. A confirmed retest of this level will provide a higher-probability entry opportunity aligned with the emerging bearish momentum.
Additionally, the 50-EMA is acting as dynamic resistance, reinforcing the downside bias as price struggles to trade above it. Should the retest hold and bearish confirmation signals appear, downside targets can be projected toward key support zones located beneath the former trendline structure.
EURUSD I Monthly CLS - Model 2 Continuation Hi friends, new range created. As always we are looking for the manipulation in to the key level around the range. Don't forget confirmation switch from manipulation phase to the distribution phase to make the setup valid. Stay patient and enter only after change in order flow. If price reaches 50% of the range take partial or full close.
🧩 Complete proces and Strategy explained 👇 Click Below
👊 Your ultimate goal as a trader is not to be a generalist who knows 10 000 patterns. But rather create one system with narrowed criteria of each element of the trade to remove subjective and emotional decisions as much as possible and stick to this system no matter what. Practice it 10 000 times become a MASTER.
✨ Trading Mastery is reflection of your life
Have a longterm plan, No Alcohol & Drugs, Ignore others, Focus on your journey , Backtest regularly, Review your weeks, Journal mistakes, Exercise, Sleep well, Read books, Walks in nature (no phone) , Meditate, Reduce social media time, Spend time with family, Live Life.
Trading is hard, but not impossible. I believe in you 💪
David Perk aka Dave Fx Hunter
EU's Consolidation ExpandsHere on FX:EURUSD we can see that Price has been trading between a Rising Resistance and Falling Support or Higher Highs and Lower Lows.
This forms an Expanding Range!
Currently the range is between:
- High: 1.16232
- Low: 1.15912
Until we get a clear cut Breakout of either leg, this Price Action will remain in a battle of Tug-O-War between Bears and Bulls.
*The Breakout will need to be accompanied by a large amount of volume to verify!
Fundamentally, both EUR and USD have impactful news coming out this week with the ECB recently stating they could be at the end of their easing cycle with cuts and the Federal Reserve looking at an 87% chance of another Interest Rate Cut at the Dec. 10th meeting.
Stay vigilant!
Will AUDUSD decline further or remain Bullish? AUDUSD Swing Analysis:
On Weekly chart price is in a Bearish trend , Daily chart price is in a Bullish trend and H4 is in a Bearish trend .
Following daily chart price action, price has pulled back into discounted levels and mitigated the daily OB which is aligned with the weekly key level 0.64105. Price reacted with a strong bullish momentum from this key level which caused price to surge towards the H4 premium levels. Ideally, I am expecting daily chart to facilitate a bullish move to take out the daily weak HH around 0.67068 which is also aligned with weekly key level.
But not all timeframes are aligned, it is best to take a step back and observe how price plays out. Swing structure is Bullish.
Internal structure
While the daily chart is bullish, H4 is in a bearish trend and price has mitigated the H4-OB.
I am expecting price to decline towards H4-LL and possible below daily-LL 0.64105 which is aligned with weekly key level. I am bearish and for possible short positions, it is best to wait for confirmation entries, and we could target the H4-LL.
GBP/JPY - H1 - Japan Signals Rate Hike? (01.12.2025)📝 Technical Description FX:GBPJPY
GBP/JPY has been respecting the ascending trendline for several sessions, with multiple successful retests. However, price is now struggling inside the Resistance Zone, showing signs of exhaustion. A clean break below the trendline will confirm a short-term reversal toward lower support levels.
This setup requires patience → Wait for a breakout confirmation before execution
📊 Trading Plan (My View)🔻 Bearish Scenario (Primary Setup)
Wait for a clear trendline breakout and retest around 206.63–206.80 zone.
Once confirmed, expect a drop toward the next support areas.
🎯 Targets
1st Support: 205.439
2nd Support: 204.802
⚠️ Today’s Fundamental Update – 01 Dec 2025
1️⃣ Bank of Japan Policy Signal - BoJ Governor Ueda hinted at the possibility of interest rate increases, as government spending rises to support economic growth.
➡ This typically strengthens the JPY, adding downward pressure on GBP/JPY.
#gbpjpy #forex #forexanalysis #technicalanalysis #priceaction
#trendlinebreak #jpystrength #bojnews #fxsignals #tradingview
#chartpatterns #fundamentalanalysis #bearishsetup
⚠️ Disclaimer
This chart is for education only, not financial advice.
Always manage risk and use proper stop-loss.
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