Monero
Long

Monero: The best asymmetric bet in crypto

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"Your winners are never big enough."

I don’t recall who said it first, but I credit legendary trader Peter Brandt for popularizing this maxim — the one that comforts every risk-conscious trader whose conviction proves right but whose position size was too small.

A little over two years ago, I realized that Monero embodies the ethos Bitcoin once had: private, decentralized, uncensorable money free from government and corporate control.
Bitcoin has since drifted from that ideal. It may function as a store of value today, but it has surrendered most of its role as a medium of exchange on the internet. Monero has quietly taken that mantle. Watching major Bitcoin thefts be traced and seized — because Bitcoin is, in fact, traceable — only reinforced my view: Monero’s value as true private money would keep growing as the market caught on.

Since forming that conviction, I’ve seen two events that seemed to threaten Monero’s survival — yet ultimately proved its resilience.

The first was Monero’s delisting from Binance, forced by European regulations banning privacy coins. The market panicked; XMR dropped 30% overnight. At first, I feared its code had been compromised. But the truth was simpler — and far more bullish. Monero was being recognized as working exactly as intended: too private for governments to track.

The second came this year with an attempted 51% hashrate takeover. Confusion reigned, and even I questioned whether this was an existential threat. Yet I decided that if the world could no longer sustain private money, little else would matter. I held my conviction — and Monero endured.

Through all of it, Monero has proven to be the pluckiest cryptocurrency alive — rising now amid one of the most skeptical phases of the current bull cycle.

From a price-action standpoint, the weekly close above the prior $420 high (yes, that number) would confirm a breakout. But I don’t think it matters. As a trader, I’ve found Monero almost un-tradable — my usual methods simply don’t apply to XMR/USD. Its chart behaves unlike any other asset.
That doesn’t frustrate me anymore. It fascinates me. The best move with Monero isn’t to trade it — it’s to own it.

Monero remains the best asymmetric bet in crypto.

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