AAPL Outlook — Dec 1 to Dec 5
(Price Action + Multi-Timeframe Story + GEX for Options Traders)
Weekly timeframe The weekly chart still holds its long-term uptrend, but you can tell momentum is cooling off. The candles are getting smaller as price pushes toward the upper trendline, which usually means buyers are running into an area where profit-taking becomes more attractive. Nothing bearish yet—just a sign that the push is losing steam.
Daily timeframe
The daily view fits that slowdown perfectly. Price is sitting right inside a supply zone that was created during the last big push. Ever since AAPL entered this zone, the market hasn’t shown a strong follow-through candle. Instead, it’s been chopping inside 276–280. The first little shift in character already appeared, which tells you sellers are at least testing the waters.
The weekly hints “momentum is fading,” and the daily basically confirms, “yes, we’re stuck under some pressure.”
1-Hour timeframe
Dropping into the 1H makes the battle more obvious. Price keeps rejecting the same ceiling near 279–280 again and again. Even though the trendline from below is still supporting the move, the highs are getting slightly lower each attempt. That’s usually the first sign that buyers are defending, but they’re not dominating anymore.
So now all three timeframes are telling the same story: Uptrend intact → momentum slowing → pressure at the top.
15-Minute timeframe
The 15m chart is where you can really see how tight things have become. Price is compressing right underneath that ceiling. Volume is tapering off, candles are getting smaller, and every bounce looks weaker than the last. This kind of behavior usually means the market is coiling up for a move—either a clean breakout above 280 or a release to the downside if the base around 277.50 gives out.
The smaller the timeframe, the more it reveals what the bigger timeframes were already hinting.
Where GEX Fits Into All of This (the real edge)
Now here’s where everything clicks:
All timeframes point to the same resistance near 279–280. When you overlay the options data, the biggest call wall also sits right there. That’s the level where dealers hedge the most aggressively, which naturally creates resistance—and it just so happens to line up with the zones that the charts have already shown.
Below that, the negative gamma area starts opening up around 276–274. This means that if price slips under that base, dealers shift into selling hedges, which increases volatility and makes pullbacks move faster.
So the charts show the structure… GEX shows the “fuel” behind the structure.
That’s why I like combining them: the price action tells the story, and GEX tells you who’s on the other side of the trade.
Trading Bias for the Week (Options + Price Action)
Upside idea Only valid if 280 breaks clean. If that happens, the next magnet is around 282.5 where the next batch of calls cluster.
Downside idea If 277.50 cracks, the move usually releases toward 276, then 274. That lines up with both the lower timeframe CHoCH and the negative gamma pocket.
Final Thoughts
Each timeframe is showing the same thing, just in different levels of detail: the trend is still healthy, but buyers are clearly struggling at the top. GEX reinforces why price behaves that way and gives option traders the roadmap for the week.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. This is just my personal market observation and for educational use only.
(Price Action + Multi-Timeframe Story + GEX for Options Traders)
Weekly timeframe The weekly chart still holds its long-term uptrend, but you can tell momentum is cooling off. The candles are getting smaller as price pushes toward the upper trendline, which usually means buyers are running into an area where profit-taking becomes more attractive. Nothing bearish yet—just a sign that the push is losing steam.
Daily timeframe
The daily view fits that slowdown perfectly. Price is sitting right inside a supply zone that was created during the last big push. Ever since AAPL entered this zone, the market hasn’t shown a strong follow-through candle. Instead, it’s been chopping inside 276–280. The first little shift in character already appeared, which tells you sellers are at least testing the waters.
The weekly hints “momentum is fading,” and the daily basically confirms, “yes, we’re stuck under some pressure.”
1-Hour timeframe
Dropping into the 1H makes the battle more obvious. Price keeps rejecting the same ceiling near 279–280 again and again. Even though the trendline from below is still supporting the move, the highs are getting slightly lower each attempt. That’s usually the first sign that buyers are defending, but they’re not dominating anymore.
So now all three timeframes are telling the same story: Uptrend intact → momentum slowing → pressure at the top.
15-Minute timeframe
The 15m chart is where you can really see how tight things have become. Price is compressing right underneath that ceiling. Volume is tapering off, candles are getting smaller, and every bounce looks weaker than the last. This kind of behavior usually means the market is coiling up for a move—either a clean breakout above 280 or a release to the downside if the base around 277.50 gives out.
The smaller the timeframe, the more it reveals what the bigger timeframes were already hinting.
Where GEX Fits Into All of This (the real edge)
Now here’s where everything clicks:
All timeframes point to the same resistance near 279–280. When you overlay the options data, the biggest call wall also sits right there. That’s the level where dealers hedge the most aggressively, which naturally creates resistance—and it just so happens to line up with the zones that the charts have already shown.
Below that, the negative gamma area starts opening up around 276–274. This means that if price slips under that base, dealers shift into selling hedges, which increases volatility and makes pullbacks move faster.
So the charts show the structure… GEX shows the “fuel” behind the structure.
That’s why I like combining them: the price action tells the story, and GEX tells you who’s on the other side of the trade.
Trading Bias for the Week (Options + Price Action)
Upside idea Only valid if 280 breaks clean. If that happens, the next magnet is around 282.5 where the next batch of calls cluster.
Downside idea If 277.50 cracks, the move usually releases toward 276, then 274. That lines up with both the lower timeframe CHoCH and the negative gamma pocket.
Final Thoughts
Each timeframe is showing the same thing, just in different levels of detail: the trend is still healthy, but buyers are clearly struggling at the top. GEX reinforces why price behaves that way and gives option traders the roadmap for the week.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. This is just my personal market observation and for educational use only.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.